Futures rose 0.2 percent, leaving prices in London little changed on the week. They jumped above $65 for the first time since 2015 earlier on Tuesday after the Forties pipeline in the U.K. shut down because of a crack. Those gains were eroded as the International Energy Agency’s voiced doubts the market would fully rebalance in 2018, diverging from the view of OPEC. “It’s been volatile,” Torbjorn Kjus, analyst at DNB Bank ASA, said by phone. If the Forties pipeline is “out for a month, it should have a positive effect” on prices as 10 million barrels of oil supply could easily be lost to the market. Click Read More below for additional information.
U.S. oil this month dropped below $50 a barrel for the first time this year as the nation’s near-record crude stockpiles and increasing production weighed on the output reductions by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies. While OPEC won’t decide until May whether to prolong the curbs, energy ministers including Russia’s Alexander Novak will meet this weekend in Kuwait to discuss the deal’s progress.
“The solid weekly gain in U.S. oil rigs continues and the market sees that,” said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB AB in Oslo. “OPEC can easily shoot itself in the foot if the cuts lift the long-dated WTI price, which will drive U.S. shale yet higher and stronger.”
West Texas Intermediate for April delivery, which expires Tuesday, fell as much as 77 cents to $48.01 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $48.20 as of 9:24 a.m. in London. The more-actively traded May contract dropped as much as 1.1 percent. Total volume traded was about 10 percent below the 100-day average.
Brent for May settlement declined as much as 71 cents, or 1.4 percent, to $51.05 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices last week gained 0.8 percent to end at $51.76. The global benchmark crude traded at a premium of $2.48 to May WTI.