Amazon’s Prime Day Party To Drive $23.8B Across All Online Retail

Amazon Prime Day is shaping up to be a performance monster—not just for Amazon, but for the entire ecommerce ecosystem, according to a new Adobe forecast.

Adobe expects online shopping to surge 28.4% from July 8 to 11, which translates to a $9.6 billion increase.

Some observers initially questioned Amazon’s decision to double Prime Day’s length to 96 hours, concerned the added time might dilute urgency and lead to more cart abandonment. But with recent shifts in consumer search behavior—and mounting economic uncertainty—many now expect a blockbuster. Bank of America is reportedly anticipating $21 billion in sales over just four days, marking a 60% increase from last year’s sales of $13.2 billion.

Adobe forecasts that total spending on all online retail will be equivalent to two Black Fridays, as other retailers—including Target with its Circle Week—tempt shoppers with big-discount deals of their own.

Amazon’s Prime Day Party To Drive $23.8B Across All Online Retail 07/07/2025

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